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Fundamental Analysis


German Election Leaves Markets Mixed

5/5 (1) EU facing tough winter The result of German election was on the surface positive for the EU given that Angela Merkel the hugely pro-EU Chancellor was elected for a fourth term. There is little doubt that Merkel has been hugely influential in driving the EU forward following the financial crisis backed by a Read the full article…



The big four downgraded to Aa3

Australia credit rating downgraded

5/5 (1) Moody’s Cuts Ratings on Australia’s Banks   The big four downgraded to Aa3   Get ready for the bubble to be burst. This has been on the cards for quite some time and the downgrade is here. Moody’s Cuts Ratings on Australia’s Banks  https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-06-19/australian-big-four-banks-ratings-cut-by-moody-s-on-housing-risk Read the full post on bloomberg.   Its now time Read the full article…



US Rate Hikes Strike Again

US Rate Hikes

No ratings yet. US Rate hikes. The USDX has rallied around 270 pips since the US Federal reserve hiked US interest rates for the seconded time in a decade last Thursday. The target for the USDX for this year was 103.00 and this was hit on the day of the hike. See post  From here Read the full article…



The Aussie Tumbles

AUD/USD Monthly break out

No ratings yet. The Aussie breaks long term monthly support The triangle breakout has been largely anticipated over the past few weeks and has played out as expected. After having several attempts to break above the buyers finally gave up. It came as no surprise how quickly the Feds changed their tune when Donald Trump became the Read the full article…



Com dollars victims of US rate increases

NZD/USD head and shoulders

No ratings yet. Com dollars victims of US rate increases A look at the Kiwi Dollar The unwind of the carry trade commences as the commodity dollars become victims of the US rate increases. Interest rate compression of yields has become massive as RBNZ cut interest rates again last week. The unwind of the carry trade as well Read the full article…



The Comdolls Trumped

Donald Trump

No ratings yet. Technical Analysis (Post Trump victory) AUD/USD The Comdols Tanked apon Donald Trump’s “shocked” victory on the 9th of November. Trumps policies are very Pro American  which in long term, will  have an effect on commodity based currencies. This affecting particularly Australia with having a close economic trade relationship with China. Initially the USD Read the full article…



AUD/USD tightening range

aud/usd tightening range

No ratings yet. AUD/USD tightening range The Aussie has continued to be range bound with in the symmetrical triangle. Being rejected again for the second consecutive week, and forming a double rejection again on the weekly. For three consecutive weeks now price has closed and opened with in a 20 pip range indicating indecision in the Read the full article…



Aussie CPI remains subdued

No ratings yet. AUD sky rockets on deceiving CPI figures At a glance Australian CPI figures come out green with inflation rising 0.7% last quarter which is better than the forecast of 0.4%. This 3rd quarter brings inflation to 1.3% and at this stage remains very unlikely it will reach the inflation target set by the Read the full article…



AUD/USD False breakout – labor market concerns

AUD/USD false breakout

No ratings yet. AUD/USD False breakout ? The Aussie sell off on Thursday was sparked by the labor market data release. It came to no surprise as Governor  Philip Lowe had already commented his concerns of the labor market in his speech on the 18th and in the latest monetary policy meeting minutes. Technically the Aussie was already at Read the full article…



GBP/USD The Aftermath

Cable gaps on open

No ratings yet. Cable Gaps down, GBP/USD The Aftermath Cable gaps down on open after Fridays crash and what would of usually been a a nice gap of 50 pips it looks non existent compared with the 700 pip candle on Friday. The Gap was quickly filled and now looks to the downside once again. Price now Read the full article…



Pound crashes – Brexit all over again

No ratings yet. Pound crashes on low liquidity This morning thousands of traders woke up having their positions taken out account wiped out and being left with wondering why and how did this happen. My chart shows a low of 1.19164 on Pepperstone but has been noted to fall as low as 1.11. Lets try and Read the full article…



Cable Buy signal triggered

GBP/USD Live trade

No ratings yet. GBP/USD buy signal The pound has fallen to its post Brexit support level and where long orders will start to be accumulated as price consolidates promoting a GBP/USD buy signal. Manufacturing PMI continuing to expand as a good pace and highest level since 2014. These figures confirm that Brexit has a limited effect on UK and Read the full article…



To Hike or not to Hike?

No ratings yet. Will the Fed’s Hike? Fed meeting on 22nd of September. Will the Feds’ hike, is the question just about all analyst’s and traders are asking. There has been nothing but talk about hiking rates in the US for over 9 months now which is creating a lot of uncertainty in the markets. Read the full article…